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The fate of the stock market depends on the tariffs

With S&P 500 (^GSPC) on the edge of a 10% correctionstock an attempt to jump on Wednesday after a Better than expected reading of inflation.

As with Most of the recent market activitiesThe rally proved to be a stop-and-like news that Canada would slap with retaliatory tariffs on the US He sent the largest indexes to negative territory before a possible return throughout the afternoon.

The nature of the WHIPSaw on the shares of the late corresponds to what many investors have said about the recent withdrawal: as long as there is no clarity about tariff policy, the chaotic market action is unlikely to end.

Read more: The latest news and updates for Trump’s tariffs

Guggenheim Investment Management Partners Zio Ann Walsh told Yahoo Finance On Wednesday that “UN, then turned off, then turned on, and then again narrative” around tariffs, increases market instability. And as long as it persists, there is probably no direct path to stock.

“He does not feel like a smooth trajectory (for stock) for the sake of all noise,” Walsh said.

Pepper Sandler’s chief investment strategist, Michael Kantrovitz, recently offered a similar feeling, writing in clients’ note: “(We are) we are unlikely to see material recovery in capital until we see the beginning of the uncertainty of fiscal policy, which is noticeable,” noticing that the recent rise Below, it coincides with today’s place on the market.

Like JPMorgan Asset Management Global Strateger Jackack Manley Recently told Yahoo FinanceThe tariff market issue is not the tariffs themselves. If Mexico and Canada’s 25% tariff were signed in action, investors could crack down on which companies would be affected, how likely their profits would fall and what the objective value would be for those shares and the market as a whole.

The real question is that there is no clarity on tariffs. Manley noted that he had the effect of “snowballs”. If the United States is hit by Canada with new duties, the contracting page can respond, as it happened on Wednesday. If Canada avenges, then the United States will follow with even more duties? Does the cycle end there?

These questions, Molley said, are making tariffs for the “extremely difficult” stock market prices.

Tariffs were one of the reasons that Goldman Sachs recently reduced its appearance for S&P 500 This year. The company in the note wrote to the clients on Tuesday night that he is now seeing the benchmark index that ends 2025 at 6,200, lower than the previous target of 6,500.




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